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2024-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Margin 6.8% 93.2% +14.4 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +20 (103-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jermaine Couisnard * 37 14-24 4-9 7-7 2 5 2 0 3 39 21 -20.0
N'Faly Dante * 33 8-11 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 1 16 17 -21.0
Jackson Shelstad * 32 7-14 2-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 16 7 -14.4
Jadrian Tracey * 28 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 2 -5.5
Kwame Evans Jr. * 25 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 2 1 -18.5
Brennan Rigsby 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 2 1 -18.6
Kario Oquendo 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 3 -0.8
Mahamadou Diawara 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 +3.1
Gabe Reichle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
James Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pelle Larsson * 34 8-14 4-6 2-5 4 6 0 1 3 22 16 +17.0
Caleb Love * 31 9-19 3-9 1-1 3 7 1 0 1 22 13 +11.5
Keshad Johnson * 30 8-10 2-2 3-6 4 2 0 1 1 21 17 +14.6
Oumar Ballo * 27 5-6 0-0 1-2 12 1 2 1 2 11 19 +22.8
Grant Weitman * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -6.2
Kylan Boswell 25 7-9 5-7 0-1 3 4 1 0 1 19 17 +30.6
Jaden Bradley 15 2-4 0-0 4-4 0 5 1 0 0 8 10 +13.8
KJ Lewis 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 +4.3
Motiejus Krivas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 +2.0
Conrad Martinez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.0
Paulius Murauskas 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.0
Luke Champion 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Filip Borovicanin 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter