Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens * | 37 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | -1.2 |
| Nique Clifford * | 35 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -9.1 |
| Joel Scott * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | -10.2 |
| Patrick Cartier * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | -7.3 |
| Josiah Strong * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.1 |
| Jalen Lake | 19 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +9.9 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +6.0 |
| Joe Palmer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +9.0 |
| Kyan. Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. House * | 36 | 6-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +7.6 |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | +0.6 |
| Donovan Dent * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| JT Toppin * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +10.3 |
| J. Baker | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.7 |
| Tru Washington | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
* = starter