Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Harris | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Taylor | 30 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| J. Curry | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| N. Rickards | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| O. Cochran | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Jefferson | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| E. Istanbulluoglu | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Love | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Russell | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Gassett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. McQueen | 33 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| S. Barker | 32 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| A. Nye | 31 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Weathers | 29 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Timmons | 29 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| E. Cody | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| J. Cunningham | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Newman | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter