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2024-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.5% 87.5% - โœ“
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 โœ“ (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 24.0% 76.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +33 (84-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Markus Burton * 35 3-11 0-3 3-4 3 4 2 0 4 9 3 -
Braeden Shrewsberry * 30 4-9 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 9 6 -18.4
Carey Booth * 26 2-9 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 5 2 -22.0
Tae Davis * 21 4-11 1-1 2-4 6 0 0 1 1 11 6 -16.1
Kebba Njie * 16 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -10.5
J.R. Konieczny 20 2-3 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 8 -1.8
Matt Zona 18 1-3 0-2 0-2 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 -13.0
Logan Imes 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -28.5
Julian Roper II 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -1.2
Alex Wade 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1
Thomas Crowe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.0
JT Kelly 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +4.0
Raheem Braiton 2 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Davis * 31 9-15 4-6 0-1 4 6 1 1 1 22 18 +37.8
Armando Bacot * 25 4-8 2-2 4-6 5 1 0 1 3 14 10 +35.3
Rob Landry * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Creighton Lebo * 4 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -2.0
Duwe Farris * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0
Harrison Ingram 31 5-16 1-8 0-0 14 4 1 0 0 11 14 +28.6
Cormac Ryan 31 4-9 2-5 4-6 5 1 0 0 0 14 11 +30.2
Elliot Cadeau 24 2-4 0-0 0-1 5 2 3 0 2 4 8 +26.5
Seth Trimble 16 3-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -4.6
Jalen Washington 12 4-5 2-2 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 10 12 -
Jae'Lyn Withers 7 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -0.6
Paxson Wojcik 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.2
James Okonkwo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -4.0
Zayden High 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.0

* = starter