Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Proctor * | 40 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Jeremy Roach * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | -1.1 |
| Jared McCain * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +7.3 |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Mark Mitchell * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Sean Stewart | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +15.8 |
| Ryan Young | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.6 |
| TJ Power | 10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -0.1 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Diarra * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Casey Morsell * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | -10.4 |
| DJ Horne * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -0.9 |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 31 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 15 | +18.3 |
| Michael O'Connell * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +6.5 |
| Jayden Taylor | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Breon Pass | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.1 |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Ernest Ross | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter