Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.2% | 36.8% | -3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. McKneely * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +11.0 |
| Player #4432187 * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| J. Groves * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Player #4888725 * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Player #4594263 * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Rohde | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +2.2 |
| B. Buchanan | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +3.1 |
| D. Harris | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.5 |
| T. Murray | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.3 |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Zackery * | 38 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | -6.3 |
| Player #4593016 * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| M. Madsen * | 36 | 4-14 | 1-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -3.2 |
| C. Harris Jr. * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -13.4 |
| D. McGlockton * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -6.2 |
| P. Aligbe | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.3 |
| D. Hand Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +9.2 |
| A. Mighty | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
* = starter