Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +7 (90-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Horne * | 37 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | -1 | -7.4 |
| Mohamed Diarra * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Casey Morsell * | 33 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | -2.9 |
| Michael O'Connell * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.2 |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | -9.0 |
| Jayden Taylor | 23 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 6-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | +0.3 |
| Ernest Ross | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dennis Parker Jr. | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
| Breon Pass | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.2 |
| Kam Woods | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4606840 * | 34 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +13.3 |
| Cameron Corhen * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Jalen Warley * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +14.0 |
| Baba Miller * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Darin Green Jr. * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Primo Spears | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -3.2 |
| Chandler Jackson | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +3.9 |
| De'Ante Green | 8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Player #4397913 | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Nickelberry | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.7 |
* = starter