Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.7 | ✓ (33.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +34 (75-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432187 * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Isaac McKneely * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -22.2 |
| Player #4888725 * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Rohde * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -16.8 |
| Player #4594263 * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dante Harris | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -15.8 |
| Blake Buchanan | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -20.9 |
| Jacob Groves | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -15.0 |
| Taine Murray | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8.6 |
| Leon Bond III | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Elijah Gertrude | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3.8 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins * | 37 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +33.9 |
| Robbie Beran * | 28 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +32.4 |
| Sean Pedulla * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +20.4 |
| Hunter Cattoor * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +17.6 |
| Lynn Kidd * | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | +22.7 |
| Tyler Nickel | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +29.2 |
| Mylyjael Poteat | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +11.9 |
| Jaydon Young | 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.9 |
| John Camden | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Patrick Wessler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Conner Venable | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Michael Ward | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter