Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.1% | 10.9% | -11.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared McCain * | 39 | 12-20 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 18 | +5.2 |
| Jeremy Roach * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Caleb Foster * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Mark Mitchell * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Ryan Young | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.4 |
| Jaylen Blakes | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Sean Stewart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +0.5 |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Green Jr. * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jamir Watkins * | 28 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Jalen Warley * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +7.3 |
| Baba Miller * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +5.5 |
| De'Ante Green * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Corhen | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -5.9 |
| T.B. Bowen | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6.9 |
| Chandler Jackson | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jaylan Gainey | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Primo Spears | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -11.3 |
| Josh Nickelberry | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.2 |
* = starter