Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (96-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins * | 39 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | -5.8 |
| Hunter Cattoor * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -5.7 |
| Sean Pedulla * | 29 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Robbie Beran * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Lynn Kidd * | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Tyler Nickel | 27 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -7.7 |
| Mylyjael Poteat | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -1.6 |
| Jaydon Young | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Patrick Wessler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12.5 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.6 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Harrison Ingram * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | +11.2 |
| Cormac Ryan * | 32 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | +12.9 |
| Armando Bacot * | 30 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | +11.9 |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | +17.3 |
| Seth Trimble | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +10.2 |
| Jalen Washington | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Paxson Wojcik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
* = starter