Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.2% | 21.8% | -7.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cormac Ryan * | 40 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 37 | 7-17 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Washington | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Starling * | 40 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Judah Mintz * | 40 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Chris Bell * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Maliq Brown * | 34 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Justin Taylor * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Quadir Copeland | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mounir Hima | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter