Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -11 (63-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Hinson * | 37 | 11-19 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Jaland Lowe * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Carlton Carrington * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Federiko Federiko * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zack Austin * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ishmael Leggett | 29 | 2-11 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| William Jeffress | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Dunn * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Reece Beekman * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Rohde * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Minor * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Groves | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Taine Murray | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Blake Buchanan | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dante Harris | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter