Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (65-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Burton * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Logan Imes * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J.R. Konieczny * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tae Davis * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kebba Njie * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 33 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Matt Zona | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Julian Roper II | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Carey Booth | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432187 * | 34 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Isaac McKneely * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Player #4594263 * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Player #4888725 * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Rohde * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Groves | 22 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Taine Murray | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dante Harris | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Blake Buchanan | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter