Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -17 (52-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. McKneely * | 30 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Player #4432187 * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Player #4888725 * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| A. Rohde * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Player #4594263 * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Murray | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Buchanan | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Bond III | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Groves | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Harris | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Gertrude | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. How | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Clark * | 35 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. James * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. White * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Williams * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Glenn | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Johnson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Z. Payne | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Okorafor | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Jovanovich | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter