Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.0% | 24.0% | -6.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Cormac Ryan * | 31 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Washington | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Paxson Wojcik | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zayden High | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Green Jr. * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jamir Watkins * | 29 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Baba Miller * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| De'Ante Green * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Warley * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Primo Spears | 31 | 6-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Corhen | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chandler Jackson | 10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jaylan Gainey | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Nickelberry | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tom House | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter