Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.5% | 12.5% | -10.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -14 (69-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Filipowski * | 36 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Mark Mitchell * | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Jared McCain * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Foster * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 35 | 9-16 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Sean Stewart | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Young | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike James * | 38 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Huntley-Hatfield * | 37 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Skyy Clark * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tre White * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Curtis Williams * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kaleb Glenn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Danilo Jovanovich | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Payne | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter