Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +10.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyy Clark * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Mike James * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Huntley-Hatfield * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Hercy Miller * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Danilo Jovanovich * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tre White | 31 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Curtis Williams | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kaleb Glenn | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Z. Payne | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Cormac Ryan * | 28 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jalen Washington | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Paxson Wojcik | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zayden High | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter