Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -6 (83-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Connell * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Casey Morsell * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Dennis Parker Jr. * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jayden Taylor * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| DJ Horne | 35 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Mohamed Diarra | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kam Woods | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| MJ Rice | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike James * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Skyy Clark * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Huntley-Hatfield * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Danilo Jovanovich * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hercy Miller * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Curtis Williams | 26 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| T. Johnson | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tre White | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kaleb Glenn | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter