Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -13 (54-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 35 | 6-19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Cormac Ryan * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Washington | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Paxson Wojcik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zayden High | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Creighton Lebo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Okonkwo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Horne * | 36 | 2-16 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Casey Morsell * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Parker Jr. * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jayden Taylor * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Michael O'Connell | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mohamed Diarra | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| MJ Rice | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter