Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.8% | 22.2% | -6.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -22 (53-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Roach * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 30 | 11-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Jared McCain * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Caleb Foster * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mark Mitchell * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Young | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sean Stewart | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| TJ Power | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton Carrington * | 35 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Zack Austin * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jaland Lowe * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Blake Hinson * | 29 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Federiko Federiko | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Ishmael Leggett | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| William Jeffress | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jorge Diaz Graham | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter