Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432187 * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Isaac McKneely * | 32 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Player #4888725 * | 32 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Rohde * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Blake Buchanan * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Taine Murray | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jacob Groves | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Elijah Gertrude | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #4594263 | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Leon Bond III | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Morsell * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jayden Taylor * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| DJ Horne * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Dennis Parker Jr. * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Michael O'Connell | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| MJ Rice | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mohamed Diarra | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter