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2024-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 20.3% 79.7% -
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (20.4 off)
Pythagorean 29.6% 70.4% -
Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Log Adjusted 15.9% 84.1% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +24 (77-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Clark * 35 3-8 2-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
B. Huntley-Hatfield * 33 3-6 0-1 3-4 5 2 0 1 1 9 10 -
M. James * 29 4-10 0-4 3-4 4 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
T. Johnson * 26 2-5 0-2 2-3 3 1 0 1 4 6 2 -
D. Jovanovich * 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 6 -
C. Williams 26 5-12 4-10 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 14 2 -
K. Glenn 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
H. Miller 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Z. Payne 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. McCool 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Groves * 34 2-8 1-5 2-2 9 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
Player #4432187 * 31 4-7 1-3 2-3 1 8 3 0 2 11 14 -
Player #4888725 * 31 7-8 0-0 1-3 10 1 1 3 1 15 21 -
A. Rohde * 31 3-9 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 8 3 -
I. McKneely * 19 7-11 4-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 18 11 -
B. Buchanan 19 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 6 8 -
T. Murray 18 5-6 2-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 12 9 -
L. Bond III 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 6 -
E. Gertrude 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Player #4594263 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter