Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +24 (77-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Clark * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. James * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Jovanovich * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Williams | 26 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | - |
| K. Glenn | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| H. Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Z. Payne | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. McCool | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Groves * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Player #4432187 * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Player #4888725 * | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| A. Rohde * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| I. McKneely * | 19 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| B. Buchanan | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Murray | 18 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| L. Bond III | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| E. Gertrude | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Player #4594263 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter