Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Harris | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Jefferson | 36 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| O. Cochran | 34 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Curry | 28 | 3-17 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| S. Taylor | 23 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| N. Rickards | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Russell | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Love | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Istanbulluoglu | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hayes | 40 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. James | 40 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| S. Rivers | 29 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Collins | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Z. Brooks | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| L. Steele | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Collier | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter