Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -4 (87-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 36 | 14-20 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 24 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| E. Noyan | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| O. McGhee | 24 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J. Brown | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| P. Clark | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Taylor | 16 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Smith | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Lawson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Lauterbach | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Brunelle | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bejedi | 36 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| T. Latson | 32 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| O. Gordon | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Timpson | 28 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| B. Turnage | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Tucker | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Bonner | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. White | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Viegas | 8 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Treadwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter