Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +27 (93-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 33 | 6-19 | 2-8 | - | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 2 | ||
| Player #4595150 | 29 | 9-16 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 11 | ||
| O. McGhee | 23 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | ||
| A. Smith | 19 | 1-5 | - | - | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | ||
| P. Clark | 19 | 3-11 | -1 | - | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | ||
| S. Brunelle | 18 | 1-5 | -2 | - | 4 | 5 | 2 | -4 | |||
| Y. Vaughn | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | ||
| T. Lauterbach | 14 | -3 | - | - | 2 | -1 | |||||
| K. Lawson | 12 | 1-2 | -1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| L. Clarkson | 8 | -2 | - | - | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| C. Pauley | 6 | -1 | -1 | - | -1 | ||||||
| E. Noyan | 2 | - | - | - | 0 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4433514 | 31 | 2-7 | -1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| Z. Brooks | 29 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 14 | |
| Player #4433807 | 28 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 |
| M. Hayes | 26 | 7-13 | 3-7 | - | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | |
| L. Steele | 24 | 5-6 | 3-4 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | ||
| M. Collins | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 19 | ||
| M. Cox | 12 | -1 | -1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| M. Collier | 10 | 1-2 | - | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | |||
| L. Williamson | 10 | 1-2 | - | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |||
| K. Peneueta | 5 | - | - | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| J. Eissa | 3 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
* = starter