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Virginia Cavaliers 66
@
NC State Wolfpack 93
2024-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 ✓ (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +27 (93-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson 33 6-19 2-8 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 14 2 -
C. Taylor 29 9-16 2-2 2-4 6 0 0 2 3 22 11 -
O. McGhee 23 3-10 1-4 2-2 4 0 1 0 4 9 0 -
A. Smith 19 1-5 0-0 0-0 9 6 0 0 1 2 11 -
P. Clark 19 3-11 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 6 1 -
S. Brunelle 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 2 -4 -
Y. Vaughn 17 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 7 5 -
T. Lauterbach 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Lawson 12 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
L. Clarkson 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Pauley 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Noyan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Rivers 31 2-7 0-1 2-2 3 7 3 1 1 6 12 -
Z. Brooks 29 7-12 1-4 4-4 2 3 4 0 2 19 14 -
A. James 28 5-14 2-3 3-4 6 4 2 1 2 15 12 -
M. Hayes 26 7-13 3-7 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 17 11 -
L. Steele 24 5-6 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 13 6 -
M. Collins 22 4-9 1-3 5-5 9 2 0 3 0 14 19 -
M. Cox 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
M. Collier 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
L. Williamson 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
K. Peneueta 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Eissa 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter