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2023-12-31

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
ELO 29.9% 70.1% -
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% -
Margin 85.0% 15.0% -9.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
KenPom Style 54.4% 45.6% -
Log Adjusted 54.2% 45.8% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -11 (61-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
Player #4433514 40 3-14 1-6 3-4 16 8 1 1 5 10 17
R. Baldwin 38 4-9 - 6-7 12 1 2 3 14 23
Player #4433807 33 3-14 -4 - 7 3 1 6 3
M. Collins 28 9-15 3-5 4-4 5 1 2 25 14
Z. Brooks 27 3-8 - - 3 1 2 1 6 3
M. Hayes 25 2-6 1-4 4-4 6 2 9 7
M. Cox 6 1-3 - - 2 1 2 0
M. Collier 3 -1 - - 1 0

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Johnson 33 4-21 2-11 1-2 7 7 2 1 2 11 5
Player #4595150 31 7-16 2-2 1-2 15 1 3 17 14
S. Brunelle 22 1-7 -6 4-5 2 2 6 3
O. McGhee 18 3-4 2-2 3-4 1 2 1 11 9
P. Clark 17 2-6 2-2 1-2 2 1 7 2
J. Brown 17 -2 - - 6 1 1 4
A. Smith 16 1-2 - - 3 2 1 1 2 5
L. Clarkson 16 1-4 - 1-2 1 1 1 3 0
K. Lawson 12 -1 -1 1-2 1 1 1 2
T. Lauterbach 11 1-5 1-3 - 4 3 3 5
Y. Vaughn 7 -4 -3 - 1 1 1 -3

* = starter