Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.0% | 15.0% | -9.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -11 (61-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rivers | 40 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| A. James | 33 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Collins | 28 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Z. Brooks | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Hayes | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Cox | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Collier | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 33 | 4-21 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Taylor | 31 | 7-16 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| S. Brunelle | 22 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| O. McGhee | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| P. Clark | 17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Smith | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Lawson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Lauterbach | 11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Y. Vaughn | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter