Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Shead * | 39 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 4-8 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts * | 38 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| L.J. Cryer * | 38 | 9-17 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Emanuel Sharp * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Mylik Wilson | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Damian Dunn | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Cedric Lath | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shemarri Allen * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Darius Johnson * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| C.J. Walker * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Ibrahima Diallo * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| DeMarr Langford Jr. | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Omar Payne | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marchelus Avery | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antwann Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter