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2024-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 73.3% 26.7% -
Bradley-Terry 73.8% 26.2% -
Margin 89.1% 10.9% -11.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% -
Efficiency 91.7% 8.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Log Adjusted 91.8% 8.2% -

Actual: UCF Knights -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shead * 39 5-15 2-7 4-8 3 8 3 0 2 16 13 +6.3
J. Roberts * 38 6-8 0-0 0-3 7 1 3 1 0 12 16 +8.9
L.J. Cryer * 38 9-17 5-11 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 25 10 +4.9
E. Sharp * 30 1-7 1-4 1-2 3 1 2 0 1 4 2 +1.3
J. Francis * 26 4-6 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 2 2 10 13 -8.2
M. Wilson 18 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +2.7
D. Dunn 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -0.6
C. Lath 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.6

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Allen * 35 2-6 0-0 3-3 3 4 1 1 2 7 8 +1.3
J. Sellers * 34 3-6 0-3 6-9 3 3 1 1 1 12 13 +3.3
D. Johnson * 34 5-13 2-4 2-3 5 3 2 0 2 14 9 +3.8
C.J. Walker * 27 6-11 1-2 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 15 8 +7.2
I. Diallo * 24 2-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 2 5 6 4 +4.3
D. Langford Jr. 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -13.6
O. Payne 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 0 1 -6.1
T. Sylla 12 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 6 -6.7
M. Avery 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.9
A. Jones 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -2.7

* = starter