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2024-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% - โœ“
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +8 (93-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Abmas * 38 13-21 4-10 3-3 3 5 4 0 1 33 23 -7.7
Tyrese Hunter * 36 4-13 2-7 2-2 3 3 3 0 1 12 7 -6.5
Dillon Mitchell * 28 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 5 6 -8.0
Ithiel Horton * 27 2-4 1-3 3-4 9 1 0 0 0 8 14 -8.0
Dylan Disu * 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 3 3 +18.8
Kadin Shedrick 27 5-8 0-0 4-6 3 0 0 0 1 14 8 -20.4
Brock Cunningham 18 1-4 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -7.9
Chendall Weaver 13 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 1 1 5 4 +0.9
Ze'rik Onyema 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Chris Johnson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Bridges * 39 8-11 6-7 10-13 9 1 2 1 0 32 34 +7.6
RayJ Dennis * 39 6-11 0-2 4-5 3 8 0 0 4 16 12 +12.0
Ja'Kobe Walter * 37 2-5 2-3 9-12 3 3 0 0 3 15 13 +10.4
Jayden Nunn * 31 1-5 0-0 6-6 5 0 1 1 1 8 9 -3.5
Yves Missi * 24 2-7 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 2 7 6 +2.0
Josh Ojianwuna 15 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 10 10 +7.0
Miro Little 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 3 +4.0
Caleb Lohner 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 +6.0
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Austin Sacks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter