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2024-02-28

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Oklahoma State Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 47.7% 52.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Margin 52.8% 47.2% -0.6 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“

Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys -6 (71-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Johnson * 35 4-11 1-5 6-7 5 1 2 0 2 15 10 +3.5
Shemarri Allen * 32 2-4 0-0 10-12 4 2 2 0 1 14 17 +4.3
Jaylin Sellers * 26 4-10 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 12 2 -10.5
C.J. Walker * 23 2-5 2-2 4-6 6 0 1 0 1 10 11 -
Player #4592720 * 15 4-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 9 4 -
Thierno Sylla 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 2 5 +3.7
Marchelus Avery 15 2-5 1-3 2-3 2 2 1 0 1 7 6 +7.5
Omar Payne 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 5 4 -1 -12.2
DeMarr Langford Jr. 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.8
Antwann Jones 12 1-2 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 1 4 4 +0.6

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wright * 37 5-14 5-13 7-9 1 0 2 0 1 22 10 -5.3
Jamyron Keller * 30 3-9 0-3 3-4 2 3 2 0 4 9 3 -1.4
Player #4781746 * 29 4-7 0-1 5-6 5 2 1 0 3 13 11 -
Brandon Garrison * 25 1-5 0-0 2-4 6 2 0 3 1 4 9 -2.8
Quion Williams * 25 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 4 2 +3.5
Eric Dailey Jr. 25 4-6 0-1 7-7 4 0 1 0 1 15 13 -9.6
Jarius Hicklen 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -14.9
Mike Marsh 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 +6.1
Connor Dow 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9
Justin McBride 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter