Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech Red Raiders | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dar. Williams * | 40 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 21 | -13.9 |
| Joe Toussaint * | 39 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -12.2 |
| Pop Isaacs * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | -12.9 |
| Kerwin Walton * | 36 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | -14.6 |
| Warren Washington * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eemeli Yalaho | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -7.9 |
| Robert Jennings | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Lamar Washington | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.9 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +10.0 |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +7.9 |
| Shemarri Allen * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +11.9 |
| C.J. Walker * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ibrahima Diallo * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Omar Payne | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +15.0 |
| Thierno Sylla | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +9.0 |
| DeMarr Langford Jr. | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +17.0 |
| Antwann Jones | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Marchelus Avery | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.1 |
* = starter