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2024-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 27.7% 72.3% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% -
Log Adjusted 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Dennis * 39 2-8 0-4 2-2 2 8 2 0 2 6 8 -6.1
J. Bridges * 33 6-12 3-8 0-0 8 0 1 1 1 15 12 -7.3
J. Walter * 31 3-9 0-3 7-9 3 0 0 0 1 13 6 -1.1
Y. Missi * 25 5-6 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 2 13 13 -3.1
J. Nunn * 25 3-6 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 9 4 +7.2
J. Ojianwuna 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -5.8
L. Love 14 1-2 1-2 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 3 4 -9.7
M. Little 10 2-3 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -15.5
C. Lohner 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -1.2

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hall * 31 3-9 1-5 0-1 5 7 0 0 1 7 9 +2.4
S. Johnson * 31 2-7 1-3 1-1 9 3 1 0 1 6 11 +14.1
T. Knell * 30 5-11 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 13 4 -2.8
A. Khalifa * 28 5-7 4-6 0-0 7 7 1 1 0 14 23 +14.6
N. Waterman * 22 4-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 3 +0.7
J. Robinson 23 4-13 4-9 4-4 4 0 0 1 1 16 7 +7.7
R. Saunders 21 4-9 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 8 4 +10.6
F. Traore 12 2-3 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 0 1 5 7 -4.6
T. Stewart 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter