Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Skillings Jr. * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +17.7 |
| John Newman III * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Simas Lukosius * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | +11.0 |
| Aziz Bandaogo * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +6.9 |
| D. Thomas * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +5.8 |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -17.1 |
| Jizzle James | 14 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Jamille Reynolds | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Viktor Lakhin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shemarri Allen * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | +0.2 |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Darius Johnson * | 30 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -1.5 |
| C.J. Walker * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Player #4592720 * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Omar Payne | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +21.2 |
| Marchelus Avery | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Nils Machowski | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Thierno Sylla | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +10.0 |
| Antwann Jones | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 |
| DeMarr Langford Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
* = starter