Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +7 (66-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 29 | 5-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Antwann Jones * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shemarri Allen * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Omar Payne * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Marchelus Avery | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nils Machowski | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Hendricks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dar. Williams * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Pop Isaacs * | 32 | 2-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Joe Toussaint * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kerwin Walton * | 30 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Warren Washington * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Chance McMillian | 27 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Robert Jennings | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Lamar Washington | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter