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2024-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma Sooners UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 38.6% 61.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% -
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -
Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -

Actual: UCF Knights +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McCollum * 32 2-10 0-5 4-4 1 1 3 0 2 8 1 -
M. Uzan * 30 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 5 -3 -
J. Moore * 29 3-8 0-0 4-6 11 0 1 1 4 10 11 -
O. Oweh * 23 2-4 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
S. Godwin * 20 0-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Darthard 28 4-8 4-6 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
R. Soares 20 5-7 0-1 1-1 1 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
J. Hugley IV 12 1-3 0-1 5-5 1 3 0 0 0 7 8 -
L. Northweather 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
K. Cooper 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sellers * 35 3-10 1-4 13-14 4 0 3 0 1 20 16 -
D. Johnson * 33 2-8 1-3 9-10 3 8 4 0 2 14 19 -
S. Allen * 33 3-6 0-1 3-5 8 2 2 2 1 9 16 -
A. Jones * 22 6-7 3-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 15 11 -
I. Diallo * 16 2-5 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 3 0 5 5 -
M. Avery 18 0-5 0-4 2-2 8 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
O. Payne 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 4 1 4 7 -
N. Machowski 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Sylla 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

* = starter