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2024-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% - โœ“
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights -8 (69-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RayJ Dennis * 35 3-9 1-4 4-7 1 8 3 0 3 11 11 -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 31 1-4 1-2 5-6 2 1 3 0 1 8 9 -
Jalen Bridges * 31 4-9 2-5 2-2 6 5 0 0 1 12 13 -
Yves Missi * 25 5-8 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 2 1 11 5 -
Jayden Nunn * 24 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 4 1 1 0 3 10 -
Langston Love 28 6-11 5-7 7-7 7 1 0 0 2 24 19 -
Josh Ojianwuna 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Caleb Lohner 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Miro Little 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylin Sellers * 39 5-14 4-9 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 14 5 -
Darius Johnson * 36 9-12 5-7 0-2 7 10 2 0 4 23 26 -
Ibrahima Diallo * 29 4-7 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
Antwann Jones * 23 2-3 1-2 1-2 3 3 1 1 2 6 9 -
Thierno Sylla * 23 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
Marchelus Avery 23 6-12 4-8 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 16 7 -
Omar Payne 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Nils Machowski 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
DeMarr Langford Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Tyler Hendricks 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Mintautas Mockus 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter