Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Thierno Sylla * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Player #4592720 * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| DeMarr Langford Jr. * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marchelus Avery | 31 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Antwann Jones | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Omar Payne | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Hendricks | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nils Machowski | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Skillings Jr. * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| John Newman III * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Simas Lukosius * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Aziz Bandaogo * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Ody Oguama | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jizzle James | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Josh Reed | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamille Reynolds | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter