Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +17.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +15 (57-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 32 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 31 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shemarri Allen * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Walker * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ibrahima Diallo * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Marchelus Avery | 24 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Omar Payne | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nils Machowski | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Comeh Emuobor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Hendricks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| DeMarr Langford Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Antwann Jones | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.J. Cryer * | 33 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Emanuel Sharp * | 20 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mylik Wilson | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ramon Walker Jr. | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Joseph Tugler | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Damian Dunn | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cedric Lath | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter