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2024-01-20

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% -
Bradley-Terry 10.9% 89.1% -
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.7 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 22.1% 77.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Peterson 40 10-19 5-6 7-9 4 2 5 0 1 32 23 -
M. Burns 40 6-16 1-3 1-1 7 1 4 0 2 14 8 -
K. Ngodu 37 6-8 0-0 3-4 7 2 2 0 1 15 17 -
M. Robinson-Nwagwu 26 2-5 0-0 1-1 2 2 1 0 5 5 0 -
L. Jewett 25 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Todd 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
T. Ware 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
S. Godbolt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Kelly 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. McMillan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Andrews 35 2-14 1-9 6-6 3 10 1 0 3 11 8 -
J. Walker 34 4-6 0-0 1-2 2 5 2 0 4 9 8 -
D. Littlepage-Buggs 32 9-9 0-0 6-8 8 0 0 0 1 24 22 -
D. Edwards 30 8-11 2-4 0-2 5 3 0 0 5 18 10 -
A. Blackwell 27 1-3 0-1 3-4 13 1 1 0 3 5 14 -
B. Fontleroy 24 2-5 0-3 1-2 5 1 3 0 2 5 7 -
Y. Felder 14 1-5 1-2 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 5 1 -
L. Vasconcelos 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

* = starter