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2023-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 65.0% 35.0% -
Bradley-Terry 55.8% 44.2% -
Margin 55.7% 44.3% -1.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% -
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Crowl * 32 2-4 0-0 1-1 8 2 1 0 2 5 10 -
C. Hepburn * 29 3-8 2-4 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
M. Klesmit * 27 4-11 2-7 2-2 3 0 3 0 0 12 7 -
T. Wahl * 26 6-11 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 1 0 14 12 -
AJ Storr * 18 5-11 0-3 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 11 4 -
J. Blackwell 22 3-8 0-3 4-4 9 2 1 0 2 10 12 -
C. Gilmore 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Essegian 13 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 0 -
K. McGee 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
N. Winter 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Harris * 33 6-12 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 13 3 -
Z. Phelps * 31 7-16 4-6 1-2 3 1 3 0 5 19 5 -
S. Williamson * 23 3-7 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 6 7 -1 -
K. Ambrose-Hylton * 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 6 -
B.J. Edwards * 20 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 1 4 -
J. Smith 22 3-4 2-3 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
T. Smith 18 1-2 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
J. Hudson 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
R. Wright 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Lanier 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter