Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +54.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +41 (85-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McNicholas | 33 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Bourland | 27 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Shah | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4 | - |
| S. Lichtie | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Ackerman | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Olinger | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Carter | 19 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| S. Richards | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5 | - |
| D. Richardson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hoffman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Billing | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Watkins | 28 | 10-19 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 22 | - |
| K. Padilla | 26 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Forbes | 24 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Marshall | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Bigby | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Makolo | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Akunwafo | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| D. Darius | 16 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| M. Samuels | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Williams | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Gayles | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| I. Otto | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter