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2024-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 โœ“ (29.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +34 (89-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Coleman * 33 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 2 2 1 2 7 7 -
Kenan Blackshear * 29 3-9 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 9 4 -
Jarod Lucas * 26 3-13 2-7 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 9 1 -
Nick Davidson * 26 3-6 0-1 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 6 6 -
K.J. Hymes * 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 2 4 6 9 -
Hunter McIntosh 20 1-7 1-5 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 5 0 -
Tyler Rolison 16 1-3 0-1 2-3 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
Tylan Pope 12 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
Daniel Foster 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Amire Robinson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Jeriah Coleman 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jazz Gardner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. House * 35 7-13 4-8 3-3 0 6 6 0 3 21 17 -
Jamal Mashburn * 30 6-9 1-2 1-3 3 3 0 0 1 14 10 -
Donovan Dent * 29 5-8 0-1 1-2 2 4 0 2 2 11 9 -
N. Junior Joseph * 27 6-8 0-0 0-1 10 1 0 2 2 12 15 -
JT Toppin * 22 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 5 9 -
Mustapha Amzil 21 3-7 2-4 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 11 6 -
Tru Washington 19 3-6 1-3 2-2 3 2 3 0 0 9 11 -
I. Mushila 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Baker 6 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Braden Appelhans 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Forsling 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter