Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (29.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +34 (89-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Coleman * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Blackshear * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Lucas * | 26 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| N. Davidson * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K.J. Hymes * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| H. McIntosh | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Rolison | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Pope | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Foster | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Robinson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Coleman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Gardner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. House * | 35 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| J. Mashburn Jr. * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Dent * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| JT Toppin * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Amzil | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Washington | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| I. Mushila | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Baker | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Appelhans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Forsling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter