Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Stevens * | 37 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Clifford * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Strong * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J. Scott * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| P. Cartier * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Lake | 21 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| R. Mbemba | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Palmer | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lucas * | 35 | 10-14 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 20 | - |
| T. Coleman * | 35 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Blackshear * | 31 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K.J. Hymes * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Davidson * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| D. Foster | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| H. McIntosh | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| T. Pope | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter