Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -8 (56-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart * | 36 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Roddie Anderson III * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Max Rice * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| O'Mar Stanley * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Meadow | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Cam Martin | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarod Lucas * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Kenan Blackshear * | 35 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Tre Coleman * | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Nick Davidson * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K.J. Hymes * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Foster | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Hunter McIntosh | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Rolison | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Tylan Pope | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter