Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Jones * | 48 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| J. Hyder * | 46 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Player #4702352 * | 45 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 5 | - |
| A. Price Jr. * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Jaakkola * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Armotrading | 41 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| P. Bizimana | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Page | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Haller | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pope * | 45 | 5-20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -6 | - |
| M. Rataj * | 42 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Wright * | 40 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| KC Ibekwe * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| T. Bilodeau * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Lake | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| C. Marial | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Rochelin | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Ndong | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter