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2024-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 โœ— (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -11 (67-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tra'Michael Moton * 37 5-11 2-4 3-4 6 4 2 0 0 15 16 -
Jourdan Smith * 36 6-10 1-2 6-7 12 3 1 1 1 19 25 -
Kintavious Dozier * 34 6-11 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 15 5 -
Antwan Burnett * 22 1-4 1-2 0-1 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
Jonathan Aku * 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Terrence Lewis 17 7-8 4-5 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 18 13 -
Zahad Munford 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
Mikale Stevenson 6 1-6 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
Malik Lamin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremiah Kendall * 31 6-13 0-1 9-9 5 0 0 0 1 21 12 -
Jalen Hawkins * 29 4-7 1-3 4-4 2 2 1 0 0 13 11 -
Tank Byard * 28 6-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 12 11 -
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt * 25 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 3 0 0 2 6 5 -
Willie Anderson * 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
Jeremiah Gambrell 28 4-10 1-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 10 2 -
Dekedran Thorn 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Byron Joshua 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Djahi Binet 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Mike Pajeaud 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alex Tsynkevich 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter