Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +21.9 | ✗ (25.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Tucker * | 35 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -5.0 |
| PJ Carter * | 28 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | +6.3 |
| Trey Edmonds * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Dre Fuller Jr. * | 24 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | -5.0 |
| Carlton Linguard Jr. * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +18.3 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 32 | 12-22 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 15 | - |
| Chandler Cuthrell | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | -3.7 |
| Massal Diouf | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.7 |
| Isaiah Wyatt | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Wright * | 30 | 5-16 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +12.9 |
| Zhuric Phelps * | 30 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Samuell Williamson * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2.7 |
| Tyreek Smith * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +8.3 |
| B.J. Edwards * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -13.5 |
| Jalen Smith | 27 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -3.2 |
| Ja'Heim Hudson | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Emory Lanier | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Mo Njie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
* = starter