Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +27 (106-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4713010 * | 33 | 12-22 | 4-9 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 21 | - |
| Jahvon Quinerly * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | -12.0 |
| Nick Jourdain * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -13.4 |
| Malcolm Dandridge * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -9.9 |
| Jaykwon Walton * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Player #5106268 | 29 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Carl Cherenfant | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Joe Cooper | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ashton Hardaway | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -13.0 |
| Jordan Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.3 |
| Jayhlon Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Harris * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Samuell Williamson * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | +7.4 |
| Zhuric Phelps * | 26 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +15.4 |
| B.J. Edwards * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +11.1 |
| Tyreek Smith * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +16.2 |
| Ricardo Wright | 19 | 9-12 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 19 | +21.1 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Jalen Smith | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +12.2 |
| Ja'Heim Hudson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +15.7 |
| Emory Lanier | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Mo Njie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Jackson Young | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Trey Utter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter