Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.0% | 6.0% | -15.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -9 (103-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Martin * | 38 | 9-16 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Johnell Davis * | 36 | 11-19 | 3-6 | 9-9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 26 | - |
| Nick Boyd * | 33 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Bryan Greenlee * | 29 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Vladislav Goldin * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Weatherspoon | 31 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Gaffney | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tre Carroll | 13 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Brenen Lorient | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Gaines | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Tucker * | 44 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Dre Fuller Jr. * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Wyatt * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Carlton Linguard Jr. * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Trey Edmonds * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 36 | 10-20 | 4-8 | 14-17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 25 | - |
| Massal Diouf | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Chandler Cuthrell | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| PJ Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter