Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +33 (103-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobe Williams * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Haggerty * | 27 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Barnes * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jared Garcia * | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Carlous Williams * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jesaiah McWright | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyshawn Archie | 16 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Matthew Reed | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jarred Hall | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mohamed Keita | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ari Seals | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Harris * | 28 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Samuell Williamson * | 27 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Zhuric Phelps * | 26 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B.J. Edwards * | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Smith | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Tyreek Smith | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mo Njie | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trey Utter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jackson Young | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter